Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.200219 0.232906 0.269305 0.312859 0.363584 0.420831 0.490393
2025-03-02 0.143036 0.184542 0.235786 0.303777 0.391767 0.502000 0.650933
2025-03-09 0.119001 0.164894 0.225731 0.312439 0.433168 0.595810 0.832444
2025-03-16 0.100492 0.147547 0.213634 0.313475 0.461034 0.671971 0.998062
2025-03-23 0.088164 0.136087 0.206840 0.319262 0.494242 0.757610 1.186845
2025-03-30 0.075788 0.122292 0.194061 0.313332 0.507727 0.814080 1.337502
2025-04-06 0.066523 0.111770 0.184479 0.310367 0.524379 0.876136 1.503721
2025-04-13 0.059609 0.103972 0.177976 0.311073 0.546366 0.948519 1.695524
2025-04-20 0.056027 0.101235 0.179358 0.325001 0.592178 1.066050 1.980565
2025-04-27 0.052454 0.097974 0.179290 0.336102 0.633976 1.181065 2.275700
2025-05-04 0.049053 0.094543 0.178396 0.345367 0.673207 1.295630 2.584490
2025-05-11 0.045210 0.089761 0.174361 0.348015 0.699846 1.389170 2.863917
2025-05-18 0.041058 0.083962 0.167881 0.345436 0.716608 1.467044 3.125793
2025-05-25 0.036576 0.076956 0.158229 0.335288 0.716796 1.511938 3.325954
2025-06-01 0.034579 0.074819 0.158111 0.344864 0.759425 1.649715 3.745113
2025-06-08 0.032015 0.071141 0.154320 0.346010 0.783798 1.751250 4.097178
2025-06-15 0.030160 0.068773 0.153018 0.352407 0.820541 1.884244 4.539576
2025-06-22 0.027484 0.064228 0.146393 0.345851 0.826625 1.948380 4.827250
2025-06-29 0.025328 0.060619 0.141449 0.342574 0.839956 2.030854 5.170960
2025-07-06 0.023656 0.057954 0.138369 0.343354 0.863166 2.139684 5.595998
2025-07-13 0.023037 0.057764 0.141110 0.358751 0.924662 2.350001 6.313024
2025-07-20 0.022254 0.057070 0.142544 0.371024 0.979756 2.551113 7.034336
2025-07-27 0.021399 0.056093 0.143162 0.381268 1.030859 2.748349 7.773424